Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000086 0.000096 0.000105 0.000117 0.000129 0.000143 0.000159
2026-01-11 0.000072 0.000085 0.000099 0.000116 0.000136 0.000159 0.000188
2026-01-18 0.000062 0.000076 0.000093 0.000115 0.000142 0.000175 0.000217
2026-01-25 0.000054 0.000070 0.000089 0.000114 0.000147 0.000189 0.000247
2026-02-01 0.000048 0.000064 0.000085 0.000114 0.000153 0.000205 0.000278
2026-02-08 0.000043 0.000059 0.000081 0.000112 0.000157 0.000217 0.000307
2026-02-15 0.000039 0.000055 0.000078 0.000112 0.000161 0.000231 0.000338
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000052 0.000076 0.000112 0.000166 0.000246 0.000372
2026-03-01 0.000032 0.000049 0.000073 0.000111 0.000169 0.000257 0.000402
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000047 0.000072 0.000112 0.000176 0.000275 0.000443
2026-03-15 0.000028 0.000045 0.000070 0.000112 0.000181 0.000290 0.000481
2026-03-22 0.000026 0.000042 0.000068 0.000111 0.000183 0.000302 0.000514
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000041 0.000067 0.000112 0.000191 0.000322 0.000564
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000066 0.000113 0.000196 0.000339 0.000611
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000037 0.000064 0.000112 0.000200 0.000354 0.000655
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000062 0.000112 0.000203 0.000369 0.000699
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000034 0.000061 0.000112 0.000208 0.000386 0.000750
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000033 0.000059 0.000110 0.000209 0.000397 0.000790
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000031 0.000057 0.000109 0.000212 0.000412 0.000838
2026-05-17 0.000016 0.000030 0.000056 0.000110 0.000217 0.000429 0.000894
2026-05-24 0.000015 0.000029 0.000055 0.000108 0.000219 0.000441 0.000940
2026-05-31 0.000014 0.000028 0.000054 0.000109 0.000225 0.000464 0.001010
2026-06-07 0.000014 0.000027 0.000053 0.000110 0.000230 0.000483 0.001073